{"id":14709,"date":"2023-12-13T21:34:29","date_gmt":"2023-12-13T20:34:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/?p=14709"},"modified":"2023-12-13T21:34:29","modified_gmt":"2023-12-13T20:34:29","slug":"2024-predictions-open-networking-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/?p=14709","title":{"rendered":"2024 predictions: Open Networking & Edge"},"content":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s that time of year again \u2013 time to look back on success and challenges of the past year, celebrate our wins and learn from the decade of open source work done by the community. Future is clear \u2013 stronger open source communities, more innovation, and integration across verticals as the industry marches towards digital transformation in the new AI-enabled world<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

By Arpit Joshipura, Ranny Haiby, Linux Foundation<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Our predictions for 2024 are outlined below, followed by a look at grading our 2023 predictions as always.<\/p>\n

2024 Predictions (Top 5)<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. AI will become an underlying Horizontal Framework leading to domain\/vertical specific AI development<\/strong>
\n\u2022 AI Marketing fluff will die down and only 3-4 main use cases relevant to each domain will stay around. Yes, telecom, edge and vertical-specific domain models, as well as data sets, will emerge and be shared through Open and Neutral governance processes. We expect a surge in AI Enterprise workloads with the need for Networking and Edge seamless infrastructure integration. (eg AI\/Edge as a service, Network AI, AI for Network, Network APIs for monetization of AI and Intelligence eg CAMARA)
\n\u2022 Silent winner of the AI wave will be Open Networking. Beyond the hardware upside, data traffic has to move across models, databases and apps. End users can\u2019t continue buying additional proprietary switches and routers unless they get quick interoperability, open interfaces and re-use across multiple use cases and places in the network.<\/p>\n

2. The Value of Open & Neutral governance will rise in importance as open solutions make it to the mainstream<\/strong>
\n\u2022 Global communities will avoid dependency on one company\/technology\/project. Any attempts to violate the true spirit of open source will be met by the rest of the world (except for offending companies), aligning around a true open and neutral governance. (No forks please, long live open forks!)<\/p>\n

3. Open RAN will continue its journey, and we expect the last of the closed technology to become open (CU\/DU)<\/strong>
\n\u2022 DARPA recently issued an RFI, signaling change in market direction towards a more secure and open ecosystem to speed deployments.
\n\u2022 The major new technology of Non-Terrestrial Networks starts taking shape with early architecture and open software solutions for cloud connectivity & 6G experiments with NTN beyond the traditional Open RAN deployments<\/p>\n

4. True transformation to Cloud Native Networks<\/strong>
\n\u2022 Not just containerization as we have seen before, but true adoption of Scalability and Agility techniques will be successfully used by Enterprise and Hyperscalers. Adoption of cloud native CI\/CD approaches and the need for test and certification will both grow; 2024 will be the year of Kubernetes applied to vertical domains (telecom, enterprise etc) through projects like Nephio.
\n\u2022 The industry will be in a lull between 5G and 6G deployments; marketing departments will start amplifying 6G, Finance teams will start ROI-ing 5G while practical software developers make it real and scalable as the migration of Telecom Networks to Cloud Native moves ahead full throttle.<\/p>\n

5. Multi-cloud coupled with Edge & IOT will become the new standard for Enterprise<\/strong>
\n\u2022 No more private cloud, public cloud only. Need for seamless connectivity. This transition is enabled by Unifying various markets \u2013 Enterprise Edge, Cloud Edge, Telecom Edge and IOT edge coupled with Networking Multi-cloud networks at the core. Industrial Edge will continue to lead the transition of edge compute.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2023 Predictions: In retrospect<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. \u201c2023 will be the year of \u2018Non-Closed\u2019 RAN.\u201d [GRADE: A]<\/strong>
\nSee headlines:<\/strong>
\n\u2022 Fierce Wireless: Open RAN market unfolding as some analysts predicated
\n\u2022 SDxCentral: NTT Docomo deploys Nokia kit for Open RAN network
\n\u2022 TelecomTV: Viettel and Qualcomm deploy open & virtualised 5G RAN equipment<\/p>\n

2. \u201cThe last of the networking markets (Enterprise) will start closing in on Open Solutions, enabled by seamless connectivity of 5G, Edge, Cloud, Telecom, and Private networks.\u201d [GRADE: A-]<\/strong>
\n\u2022 See news from DENT project, \u201cDENT 3.0 Unveiled: Open Source NOS powering distributed enterprise edge brings network management, scalability, and security via new rapid release cycle,\u201d and InfoWorld\u2019s Open Sources is still the future of enterprise IT.<\/p>\n

3. \u201cContinued blurring lines between CSPs, Vendors, Enterprises, and Hyperscalers.\u201d Private 5G \u201cNetwork-as-a-Service\u201d will be the accelerator of this trend. Open source software projects will be the technological enabler for this transformation. [GRADE: A-]<\/strong>
\n\u2022 RedHat and Nokia announced a partnership for new, \u201cbest-in-class telecommunications solutions\u201d based on Red Hat infrastructure platforms and Nokia\u2019s core network applications as Ericsson strikes API pact with Deutsche Telekom. Additionally, Google and Telus are two years into their 10-year collaboration deal to help fuel Telus\u2019 internal digital transformation while also jointly developing new products and services.<\/p>\n

4. \u201cOpen Source will remain the neutral platform where innovation happens.\u201d OSS development will continue to comply with the changing legislation, allowing country-specific requirements (security, data, federation, compliance, etc.) and be upstreamed into Open Source Networking and connectivity projects. [GRADE: B+]<\/strong>
\n\u2022 LFN successfully took its flagship event, ONE Summit, on the road with a series of localized \u201cONE Summit Regional Day\u201d events across the globe (Canada, Spain, China, India). Well-attended, the events signal renewed interest in open source collaboration, especially in China. Additionally, the EU\u2019s Cyber Resilience Act enables open source solutions to aid in privacy and security measures. Vanilla Plus reported on Nokia and Sylva validate 5G standalone core for telco cloud deployments.<\/p>\n

5. \u201cMetaverse will still be going through \u2018marketing definition;\u2019 however, just like Edge Computing, real use cases in real verticals will start emerging.\u201d [GRADE: B-]<\/strong>
\n\u2022 Market definition happened, but very few use cases emerged. See Light Reading\u2019s Mobile networks face harsh reality of delivering the metaverse and TechCrunch\u2019s Metaverse is just VR, admits Meta, as it lobbies against \u2018arbitrary\u2019 network fee.<\/p>\n

Above, Arpit Joshipura \/ Image credited to Linux Foundation<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s that time of year again \u2013 time to look back on success and challenges of the past year, celebrate our wins and learn from the decade of open source work done by the community. Future is clear \u2013 stronger open source communities, more innovation, and integration across verticals as the industry marches towards digital … <\/p>\n

Continue reading \u00ab2024 predictions: Open Networking & Edge\u00bb<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14709"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14709"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14709\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14712,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14709\/revisions\/14712"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/telecomkh.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}